||Tar sands: Reprieve or apocalypse?||
Up: Reproducible Documents
Based on a Hubbert-type analysis
two projections are made of tar sands production.
With tar sand production growing at 5%/year total petroleum production
declines at an annual rate of 1-2%.
With tar sand production growing at 10%/year total petroleum production
continues rising at almost the historic rate until 2040
followed by a catastrophic rate of 50%/decade.